Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 12.353193 13.896992 15.643907 17.785054 20.363625 23.401463 27.300617
2025-05-04 10.022528 11.874247 14.134857 17.153013 21.165544 26.453251 34.197331
2025-05-11 9.064623 11.133924 13.800313 17.593372 23.039234 30.908201 43.852285
2025-05-18 8.154997 10.276669 13.119073 17.357829 23.815431 33.865561 52.123994
2025-05-25 7.460271 9.599002 12.557438 17.147981 24.510536 36.761065 61.215425
2025-06-01 6.939950 9.093665 12.158280 17.087073 25.377663 40.084970 72.368876
2025-06-08 6.405946 8.511837 11.574557 16.640979 25.495556 42.059866 81.548521
2025-06-15 6.052071 8.156637 11.286765 16.618879 26.325030 45.569329 96.005822
2025-06-22 5.584960 7.595026 10.627548 15.892109 25.734922 46.029407 102.880490
2025-06-29 5.157964 7.064765 9.974532 15.103852 24.905919 45.787053 107.735303
2025-07-06 4.833462 6.670601 9.508239 14.592982 24.542851 46.515631 116.103249
2025-07-13 4.948814 6.962399 10.170556 16.169304 28.671344 59.157494 176.202368
2025-07-20 4.828394 6.882357 10.225228 16.664861 30.708376 67.606045 233.663986
2025-07-27 4.538665 6.511245 9.755747 16.100106 30.260400 68.955618 259.373861
2025-08-03 4.429521 6.427487 9.775950 16.501905 32.163290 78.241791 349.758746
2025-08-10 4.236583 6.192024 9.508565 16.286686 32.514043 82.706829 420.335573
2025-08-17 4.063056 5.979021 9.265626 16.094813 32.891511 87.501240 510.764072
2025-08-24 3.921958 5.812971 9.095871 16.039108 33.622643 94.051961 649.763373
2025-08-31 3.744647 5.575618 8.778729 15.630895 33.317847 96.398830 752.634739
2025-09-07 3.629718 5.440390 8.643423 15.610661 34.109653 103.903939 993.733714
2025-09-14 3.442111 5.169970 8.237273 14.944735 32.916099 101.978941 1047.659313
2025-09-21 3.258122 4.899337 7.818570 14.221261 31.463826 98.421478 1054.323834
2025-09-28 3.115160 4.695966 7.519520 13.751686 30.719045 98.107255 1153.905465